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The EIA has apparently stopped publishing its International Energy Statistics.

Instead they are now publishing an abbreviated version on their Total Energy web page titled: Tabel 11.1b World Crude Oil Production.

Average for the first two months of 2016 was 79,933.000 or 102,000 bpd below the average for 2015.

So with world production continuing to decline, there is little doubt that 2016 production will be well below 2015 production.

They have Non-OPEC peaking in March 2015 at 46,504,000 bpd and down by 925,000 bpd in February to 45,579,000 bpd. OPEC C C failed to breach its 2012 peak but did reach 34,562,000 bpd in July 2015 but by February 2016 it was down 488,000 bpd to 34,074,000 bpd. It looks exactly like Canada’s National Energy Board data except the EIA’s data is about 150,000 bpd less than Canada’s NEB shows.

Obviously Canada is counting something that the EIA is not. The only question left to be answered is how fast will she decline?

Look for Canada’s production to decline substantially in 2016. There are several articles on the web about China’s decline, but they all say about the same thing. Mexico managed to stem their decline for a few months but their production has begun to decline again.

*China April crude oil output lowest since July 2013 Data from the National Bureau of Statistics released on Saturday showed China produced 16.59 million tonnes of crude oil last month, or about 4.04 million barrels per day (bpd), the lowest rate since July 2013 on a daily basis. Norway, which produced around 3 million barrels per day from 1996 to 2004, has now dropped to almost half that amount. No one, inside or outside Russia, expected them to increase production by over 200,000 bpd over the last few months.

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